Something recently reminded me of the lifespan social media channels seem to live out. People are familiar with MySpace and Google+ coming and going, but it goes beyond that. I think Facebook is dying, and text blog posting has been dead for awhile. I'll cover my thoughts on this, which I've probably written in a similar form here before, or at least parts of this.
My Space and Google+: what to say; these were replaced by options that worked better. Facebook killed My Space, and Google+ never really stood much chance. Google gambled on the social circles function changing everything, and that never worked at all. Then they gave up. The sad part is that they really made the communicator function work well; Messenger just is a rip-off of Google's Hangouts, which was an evolved form of their earlier Messenger app or function. I suppose that was based on Skype, related to the video calling, but it worked well, especially for that time-frame.
It's funny how what seemed to be computer generated image forwarding groups went inactive last on Google+, as if programs had been set up to keep that going, and everyone leaving didn't shut that off.
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that's modern AI, but it was pretty similar to that |
Facebook: they shifted from trying to create a new and best case user experience to making the most money possible, and now my feed is mostly ads and promoted content. It's no wonder that most Reddit users deleted Facebook years ago. I post to a blog page on Facebook, and that draws some views to here, but in general I'd have to pay them to get people to see it now. They changed that so suddenly, how their algorithm works, that you could almost tell the exact week that it shifted. So they deserve the decline that they now experience.
Facebook groups have died in the most dramatic form, as much as inactivity can be called that. People only want to keep discussing the same themes for so long, and algorithms changes decrease exposure for those groups. I'm in Hawaii oriented groups as well there, since I live part-time in Waikiki, and those go completely inactive a bit slower.
a group I founded along with a Chinese vendor, and still moderate; it's dormant now |
old style forums: I miss these. Tea Chat was the main place to discuss tea online at one point, an old forum hosted by Adagio. They were already dead by the time they replaced the old moderators and ramped up use of marketing promotion of themselves on there.
Their time has came and went. Someone tried to re-create it all as a new Tea Forum, but it never gained traction. Expat / foreigner forums also died quite awhile ago, nearly a decade back now.
an interesting topic in a relatively inactive Tea Forum |
Quora: other themed sites come and go, as Quora has. The question and answer theme only had so much potential, and it took them a half dozen years or so to extract that, and now that has been dead for a half dozen years. You can say that it was mismanagement that killed it, that whatever approaches and programs didn't work out, and monetization always was a real problem for them. But those sites seem to have a natural lifespan when they work out, and that form seemed to have an expiration built in.
I started two "groups" on Quora, which they called Spaces. The site was dying when they rolled that out, as a promising last ditch effort to renew interest. It absolutely didn't work. If they had done so about two years earlier it might have. I still post to those, a little, but it's just to spread out external links, which someone could possibly read there, and to add to the potential of Quora. But it won't change anything.
Lessons learned: I'm not so sure about this part. Every composite thing is subject to dissolution? That's Buddhism, by the way. Surely we could dig a little deeper.
The life spans seem to play out in familiar patterns. Earlier on, when a site or platform is inclined to work, it goes through an expansion phase, and whatever is novel is really developed. Participation increases quickly. In a mature phase that stays stable, and functions change, often in ways that don't actually work better. Maybe that cause and effect goes mostly in one way, and once changes start to be for the worse the writing is on the wall?
Then there's a drop-off, when it all just falls apart. This happens quietly. It's just inactivity, nothing too dramatic or clearly defined. Let's examine the case of an active site and guess where they might be.
Reddit: user base is huge in Reddit; r/tea has over a million subscribers. Oddly that number isn't prominently shown now; I couldn't find it, and used Google to get that vague count. Why would they hide those follower counts now? It says there are over 300k active members there (308k weekly visitors), which probably rotate some.
Reddit changed their algorithm in the last half a year or so. In the past it was a stream of whatever subs you followed, and whatever user posts you follow, and now they show you whatever the algorithm decides you might like, half what you follow, and half whatever else. Sound familiar? That's the same change Facebook made many years ago. You can't easily customize what you see. If you like or comment on something you're going to see a lot more of that, and there may or may not be any way to manually adjust that process.
As I see it Reddit is in the levelled off phase; functions and form are not changing much, and the changes that do occur aren't positive. Groups (subs) discussions tend to evolve to repeat in ways that aren't typically positive. It's easy for sensational content to gain traction, and for other topic discussion to be crowded out by that. If the pattern holds the owners of Reddit will decide to sell the site at some point, and the new "private equity" owners will make changes to squeeze all of the profit potential available out of it, and essentially kill the site experience and the site.
Somehow on r/tea the participants prior exposure level, where they are on the learning curve for the subject, never changes, and never moves forward. I suppose people only discuss a subject until they tire of hearing of it, and don't go through a lot of learning curve and still keep participating. Even in groups where the discussions were advanced, and perspectives were quite mature, there was some sort of natural end point to be experienced. That Adagio / Tea Chat forum related to real experts joining in, and the Puerh Tea Club on Facebook was based around really developed perspective input, and both are dead now. Expat--Western foreigners living abroad--forums came and went in a similar way.
Steepster was an interesting different kind of example, a tea discussion and review site. It worked because people really wanted a place to retain short tea reviews, of their own, and to compare notes with others. But now they don't? Shared interest themes sort of play out.
No more Steepster for me. I had no idea there was ever any issue with there, and haven't checked in on that site in a couple of years.
So it's interesting how Reddit shows how that builds up to an entire site's life and death, as Quora experienced. People tire of the specific channel form too. Abstract things "ruin it." You might expect the pressure of the next catchier, better formatted thing to be a main cause, but it's almost not that, or seems not to be. Facebook groups may have killed Tea Chat, but Reddit didn't kill them, and Discord tea groups (servers) also didn't, which are now active among younger people.
Discord is sort of something else, but it's not informative to go into that, related to explaining this topic. It's message-stream discussion groups, like earlier topic forum threads, but set up differently. It's fine; it works well for people into that format. It works out to be more social than older style topic threads, maybe trading out the potential for retaining information for reference as a result of the form difference.
Back to the broader perspective, the transitions we all experience build up to these site lifespan transitions. I don't think it's all about moderators ruining things, or form changes decreasing the site's function and appeal. There is a general pattern of development where at one point a site or platform host decides to really monetize the activity, and that's always a turning point. It's like when McDonald's doubles their pricing over several years, while their food quality declines a little; it just doesn't work.
MySpace still exists, and my old profile does. I was never really active on there. It's funny that I can pull up MySpace and use it but not Steepster. I've heard that someone was discussing renewing MySpace, again, to try to bring it back to life. They could probably copy a lot of the early 2010s Facebook design and it would work better than FB does now.


















